UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick Iowa St
  
Iowa St               
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 80.9845

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H South Dakota 55- 7 906 H Iowa B10 ( 9- 4, 88.5) 16-13 913 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 24-16 927 H Arizona B12 ( 9- 3, 84.6) 39-14 1004 A Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 5, 77.6) 30-38 1011 A Colorado B12 ( 3- 9, 74.6) 17-24 1025 H BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 27-41 1101 H Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 19-24 1108 A TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 20-17 1122 H Kansas B12 ( 5- 7, 77.3) 38-14 1129 A Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 20-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 H Iowa                   16-13       3    -2    ++     5.22
   913 A Arkansas State         24-16       8     6    +      2.19
   927 H Arizona                39-14      25     2    +++   12.38
  1004 A Cincinnati             30-38      -8    -2    ---   -6.11
  1011 A Colorado               17-24      -7     1    ---   -8.16
  1025 H BYU                    27-41     -14    -5    ---   -9.24
  1101 H Arizona St             19-24      -5     6    ---  -10.60
  1108 A TCU                    20-17       3    -8    +++   11.24
  1122 H Kansas                 38-14      24     9    ++     5.03
  1129 A Oklahoma St            20-13       7     9          -1.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1004 A Cincinnati             30-38      -8    -2    ---   -6.11
  1011 A Colorado               17-24      -7     1    ---   -8.16
  1025 H BYU                    27-41     -14    -5    ---   -9.24
  1101 H Arizona St             19-24      -5     6    ---  -10.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   927 H Arizona                39-14      25     2    +++   12.38
  1108 A TCU                    20-17       3    -8    +++   11.24
   906 H Iowa                   16-13       3    -2    ++     5.22
  1122 H Kansas                 38-14      24     9    ++     5.03
   913 A Arkansas State         24-16       8     6    +      2.19

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Iowa            ( 9- 4, 88.5)    16-13      -11.44      39.78      -5.26         1.27            88.03
   3 A Arkansas State  ( 7- 6, 69.9)    24-16      -29.99      21.23       5.26         1.27            67.55
   3 H Arizona         ( 9- 3, 84.6)    39-14      -15.27      35.95      -5.26         1.27            78.25
   3 A Cincinnati      ( 7- 5, 77.6)    30-38      -22.28      28.94       5.26         1.27           -10.85
   3 A Colorado        ( 3- 9, 74.6)    17-24      -25.34      25.88       5.26         1.27           -12.80
   3 H BYU             (12- 2, 91.0)    27-41       -8.89      42.33      -5.26         1.27            -9.02
   3 H Arizona St      ( 8- 5, 80.6)    19-24      -19.26      31.96      -5.26         1.27           -15.63
   3 A TCU             ( 9- 4, 84.0)    20-17      -15.93      35.29       5.26         1.27           103.40
   3 H Kansas          ( 5- 7, 77.3)    38-14      -22.62      28.60      -5.26         1.27            59.51
   3 A Oklahoma St     ( 2-10, 66.8)    20-13      -33.14      18.08       5.26         1.27            59.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       407.97

winning pts = 456.2678 losing points = -48.3018

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------